Wexford

Current Seat allocation 5 seater FF2 FG 2 Lab 1

2007 result FF 42.19% FG 31.56% Lab 13.77% PD 3.15% Green 1.17% SF 7.39% Independents 0.78%

John Browne
Seán Connick
Michael D'Arcy
Paul Kehoe
Liam Twomey*
Pat Cody
Brendan Howlin
Danny Forde
Anthony Kelly
Seamus O'Brien
Ruairí de Valera
John Dwyer
Siobhán Roseingrave
Mick Wallace

FF will be fight tooth and claw to retain their seat and in a 5 seater you would expect them to, but their problem could be that the transfer rate between their two candidates might be that poor that their haul vote would suggest might not materialise.

Labour do not have a great history of managing their vote especially where they have a big candidate out in front. The slew of independents will mean lots of people on a few hundred votes and it will be where these votes trend towards that will determine who gets the final seats. FG will get 2 and Labour 1 but after that I suspect FF could lose out big time and end up with too even a split in their vote tally.

Prediction 18.19% FG 41.56% Lab 21.77% Green 0.31% SF 11.39% Independents 6.78%

FG 3 Lab 1 SF 1