Louth

Current Seat allocation 4 FF 2 FG 1 SF1

Candidates Declared to date

Cllr Declan Breathnach FF

Sen James Carroll FF

Fergus O'Dowd FG

Peter Fitzpatrick FG

Cllr Gerald Nash Lab

Mary Moran Lab

Mark Deary Green

Gerry Adams DF

Thomas Clare Ind

Gerry Crilly Ind

Seamus Kirk is automatically re-elected as Ceann Comhairle which is just as well as his prospects if he was campaigning might not be that great. FF senator for a day James Carroll will run about talking about how he is clean and devoid of any responsibility for what the government did given that he’s in the Oireachtas less than a wet week which is true. Mark Dreary will hold a personal vote and might be one of those who can provide a bridge to the Green rebuilding effort post this election. Labour should given its strong rise in Leinster and attractiveness to the commuter voter is able to swing this one. If not then Labour will end up providing FG with the transfers need to get a 2^nd seat. SF aren’t getting a 2^nd, nor FF a 3^rd or the Greens won't get 1 so it’s really down to FG and Labour and the national trend would tend to favour Labour.

Vote Prediction FF 24% FG 35% SF 18% Lab 15% Green 4% Indo 4%

FF 2 SF 1 FG 1 Lab 1