Election Day! Part the 2nd

These are our final predictions

Turnout under 2,000 or so.

Presidential

We feel there has been some movement in the Presidential race and that Ruan has dropped back a bit, call it complacency in the minds of the voters, call it what have you done for me lately. We still don't reckon it will cost him the race but however the main movement is not in the person who is perceived at the moment to be in 2nd place but in one of the back markers.

The most likely scenario we see is Cloheesy and Brosnan go out on the first count and favour Ryan slightly over Dillon and Rockett but probably not enough for Ryan to catch Rockett or for Ruan to be elected. Then Ryan goes and Ruan stays well ahead of Rockett.

Our final prediction is

Ruan 41%

Rockett 25%

Ryan 17%

Brosnan 9%

Clohessy 6%

Welfare

Derek Daly 60% plus
Daniel Reid under 35%

Could a fair few spoiled here 2/3%

Campaigns & Services
Vivion Grisewood 44%
Lorcan O'Neill 56%

Looks like "the Ticket" is exploding and taking both partners in the pact down with it.

Communications
Finn McDuffie 52%
Eoghan O'Brien 47%

This one might be slipping back to McDuff, the softly softly with the criticism of the SU might have reached close to breaking point but it might not prove enough for the more slight campaign of O'Brien. This one can still go either way.

Election Day!

Our near to final predictions (we do another one at close of polls)

Presidential

We feel there has been some movement in the Presidential race and that Ruan has dropped back a bit, call it complacency in the minds of the voters, call it what have you done for me lately. We still don't reckon it will cost him the race but however the main movement is not in the person who is perceived at the moment to be in 2nd place but in one of the back markers.

Rating it right now, we'd say

Ruan 39%

Rockett 23%

Ryan 19%

Brosnan 10%

Clohessy 8%

Welfare

Derek Daly 60% plus
Daniel Reid under 40%

Campaigns & Services
Vivion Grisewood 47%
Lorcan O'Neill 53%

Looks like "the Ticket" is exploding and taking both partners in the pact down with it.

Communications
Finn McDuffie 48%
Eoghan O'Brien 52%

This one might be slippy away from McDuff, the softly softly with the criticism of the SU might have reached breaking point. This one can be rescued during the course of the day though.

And finally for the day that's innit; here's part of Duran Duran!

Pre-Hustings round up

To clear up a couple of inaccuracies in the coverage so far, 5 is not an unprecedented number to runf of the post of President there was a campaign in 1991 whereby 29 or so ran, now that was a campaign! This lead to changes in the rules so that you could only nominate one person and the increase in the required signatures for nomination.

President

Sharon Brosnan [weblink]
Louise Clohessy
Ruán Dillon-McLoughlin
Paddy Rockett
Nicholas Ryan

It's very hard to unseat the incumbent and given that there is an absence of revolutionary fervour around campus I suspect that Ruan will be re-elected though not by the margin of last year. We'd say he will get 40% plus of the 1st preferences and given the number of chasers none will be able to catch him. He would have to blow up at the hustings and for word of that to get around for him to lose it now.

DP/Welfare

Derek Daly [weblink]
Daniel Reid

Daly has done a reasonable job and Reid appears too much of a last minute thought. Daly by 10% or more
Education

Aoife Finnerty
As the sole nominated candidate for the position of Education Officer, Aoife Finnerty is deemed elected unopposed.

Campaigns & Services
Vivion Grisewood [weblink]
Lorcan O'Neill [weblink]

Hard to call, the previous campaigning experience of Pa O'Brien is bound to help Grisewood but I think the cycle might be turning on this one. All to play for at this stage.


Communications

Finn McDuffie [weblink]
Eoghan O'Brien [weblink]

So the McDuff sired by Breenie out of Ni Raghallaigh is running at last. I think last year was a sign that there is a non An Focal vote out there but it's hard to channel. McDuff to win more handily than Ni Raghallaigh did I suspect.

They're at it again! Elections in ULSU 2010

You can get some early days run downs here at the story and here at the grapevine and if we're so inclined we might, just might attend the hustings and do the usual crucifixtion of the candidates for your enjoyment and delight. We will post an early assessment later today, but it will be the usual straw in the wind stuff.

And on election day we will post our ever popular but increasingly off kilter % predictions!

The line up as per boards.ie is

President
Sharon Brosnan [weblink]
Louise Clohessy
Ruán Dillon-McLoughlin
Paddy Rockett
Nicholas Ryan

DP/Welfare
Derek Daly [weblink]
Daniel Reid

Education
Aoife Finnerty
As the sole nominated candidate for the position of Education Officer, Aoife Finnerty is deemed elected unopposed.

Campaigns & Services
Vivion Grisewood [weblink]
Lorcan O'Neill [weblink]

Communications
Finn McDuffie [weblink]
Eoghan O'Brien [weblink]