Thursday, March 11, 2010

Election Day! Part the 2nd

These are our final predictions

Turnout under 2,000 or so.

Presidential

We feel there has been some movement in the Presidential race and that Ruan has dropped back a bit, call it complacency in the minds of the voters, call it what have you done for me lately. We still don't reckon it will cost him the race but however the main movement is not in the person who is perceived at the moment to be in 2nd place but in one of the back markers.

The most likely scenario we see is Cloheesy and Brosnan go out on the first count and favour Ryan slightly over Dillon and Rockett but probably not enough for Ryan to catch Rockett or for Ruan to be elected. Then Ryan goes and Ruan stays well ahead of Rockett.

Our final prediction is

Ruan 41%
Rockett 25%
Ryan 17%
Brosnan 9%
Clohessy 6%


Welfare

Derek Daly 60% plus
Daniel Reid under 35%

Could a fair few spoiled here 2/3%

Campaigns & Services
Vivion Grisewood 44%
Lorcan O'Neill 56%

Looks like "the Ticket" is exploding and taking both partners in the pact down with it.

Communications
Finn McDuffie 52%
Eoghan O'Brien 47%

This one might be slipping back to McDuff, the softly softly with the criticism of the SU might have reached close to breaking point but it might not prove enough for the more slight campaign of O'Brien. This one can still go either way.

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